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DTN Midday Grain Comments 03/02 10:51
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Lower at Midday Monday
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Monday; soybean futures are 8
to 10 cents lower; wheat futures are 3 to 14 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Monday; soybean futures are 8
to 10 cents lower; wheat futures are 3 to 14 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is weaker at midday with the S&P 32 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 115
points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is sharply
higher with crude up 3.95 and natural gas is up .08. Livestock trade is weaker.
Precious metals are mixed with gold 65.00 higher.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower with trade giving up early gains but
holding the upper end of the range with spread action easing. Ethanol margins
will be boosted by the energies gains if they hold into spring. Weekly export
inspections were strong at 1.858 million metric tons (mmt) with year-to-date
pace at 145%. Basis likely remains sideways in the short term. New-crop price
ratios are flat to start the new month. On the May chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $4.40 with fresh high at $4.52 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 8 to 10 cents lower at midday with trade fading back
from the gap higher opening with meal weighing on action as oil holds at
another set of fresh highs. Meal is 7.00 to 8.00 lower and oil is 110 to 120
points higher. South America looks to continue harvest progress close to
average pace with little change to end the growing season in Argentina. Basis
will likely remain flat barring a bigger shipping pace increase. Weekly export
inspections were strong at 1.138 mmt. On the May contract, chart support is
$11.39 1/4, where we find the 20-day moving average, with the fresh high at
$11.85 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 3 to 14 cents lower with action fading back from early
strength as July tested above $6.00 before fading. Weather for the Plains looks
to stay warm into this week with the moisture concentrated to the east. Matif
wheat is softer as well. Weekly export inspections were solid at 344,272 metric
tons with year-to-date pace at 119% of last year. On the KC May chart, support
is the 20-day moving average at $5.59, that we bounced from, with resistance
the fresh high at $5.90 3/4.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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